Navy vs San Jose State 11/19/2011

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Navy is a solid favorite with a 65% chance to beat San Jose State. Alexander Teich is projected for 114 rushing yards and a 64% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 35% of simulations where San Jose State wins, Matt Faulkner averages 2.17 TD passes vs 0.58 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.23 TDs to 0.81 interceptions. Brandon Rutley averages 83 rushing yards and 1.11 rushing TDs when San Jose State wins and 72 yards and 0.64 TDs in losses. Navy has a 44% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 76% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is SJST +4.5

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